Tuesday, March 9, 2010

Ryan's Plan for Medicare, and Obama's Health Care Reform Bullet Points


What isn't mentioned enough about Rep. Paul Ryan's "Road Map to a Dickensian America" is his plan for Medicare, and the shocking future hell awaiting seniors. Here is page 12 of the CBO summary:

Both the level of expected federal spending on Medicare and the uncertainty surrounding that spending would decline, but enrollees’ spending for health care and the uncertainty surrounding that spending would increase.

Under the Roadmap, the value of the voucher would be less than expected Medicare spending per enrollee in 2021, when the voucher program would begin. In addition, Medicare’s current payment rates for providers are lower than those paid by commercial insurers, and the program’s administrative costs are lower than those for individually purchased insurance.

Beneficiaries would therefore face higher premiums in the private market for a package of benefits similar to that currently provided by Medicare. Moreover, the value of the voucher would grow significantly more slowly than CBO expects that Medicare spending per enrollee would grow under current law.

Beneficiaries would therefore be likely to purchase less comprehensive health plans or plans more heavily managed than traditional Medicare, resulting in some combination of less use of health care services and less use of technologically advanced treatments than under current law.

Beneficiaries would also bear the financial risk for the cost of buying insurance policies or the cost of obtaining health care services beyond what would be covered by their insurance.
As for Obama's plan for health care, we won't see future problems like Ryan's where the government will have to step in and help seniors stay alive by paying their bills.

Ezra Klein: Harvard economist (and former Obama campaign adviser) David Cutler runs through the 10 most promising cost control ideas of the past few decades and notes that six of them are fully included in the bill, three of them are at least partially present, and only one of them -- the public option -- is totally absent. One addendum to Cutler's op-ed: Cutting health-care costs is hard. And it needs to be distinguished from simply capping spending.


When liberals say that single-payer will save a bazillion dollars, or conservatives point to Paul Ryan's plan and say that will save a bazillion dollars, they're talking about capping spending. Liberals do it on the provider side, saying that government will only pay so much for medical services people need, and the system will just have to adjust. Conservatives do it on the consumer side, saying that government will only give individuals so much for the coverage they need, and if that proves insufficient, then tough. But voters haven't evinced much appetite for either proposal.

One popular idea is to change payment systems so that they don't reward doctors for volume. That's in the bill. Another is to build more competitive insurance markets so that insurers have a more direct incentive to keep costs down in comparison to one another. That's in the bill. Another is to try to bring individuals closer to the true cost of the insurance coverage, which is currently hidden by employers. That's in the bill. And so on. As Cutler says, this is the most ambitious cost control bill Congress has ever passed.

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