Tied at 45% each. There's a 4.5 margin of error.
Criticism of Rasmussen, however, serves as hollow consolation for Walker supporters. If anything, the critiques of the firm’s methodology have held that it consistently overestimates Republican support by neglecting voters more likely to vote for Democrats, including low-income and young voters.
An upcoming poll by the Marquette University Law School at the end of the month should provide additional insight into whether the race has truly tightened.