Mother Jones’ Kevin Drum wrote this
nice clarification about Social Security, and how after borrowing from it for years, the wealthy now don't want to pay any part of it back through higher taxes:
No, the Social Security Trust Fund Isn't a Fiction
Charles Krauthammer is upset that Dick Durbin says Social
Security is off the table in the fiscal cliff negotiations because it doesn't add to the deficit:
This is absurd. In 2012, Social Security adds $165 billion
to the deficit. Democrats pretend that Social Security is covered through 2033
by its trust fund. Except that the trust fund is a fiction, a mere
“bookkeeping” device, as the Office of Management and Budget itself has
written. The trust fund’s IOUs “do not consist of real economic assets that can
be drawn down in the future to fund benefits.” Future benefits “will have to be
financed by raising taxes, borrowing from the public, or reducing benefits or
other expenditures.”
What Krauthammer means is that as Social Security draws down
its trust fund, it sells bonds back to the Treasury. The money it gets for
those bonds comes from the general fund, which means that it does indeed have
an effect on the deficit.
That much is true. But the idea that the trust fund is a
"fiction" is absolutely wrong.
Starting in 1983, the payroll tax was deliberately set
higher than it needed to be to cover payments to retirees. For the next 30
years, this extra money was sent to the Treasury, and this windfall allowed
income tax rates to be lower than they otherwise would have been. During this
period, people who paid payroll taxes suffered from this arrangement, while
people who paid income taxes benefited. Now things have turned around. As the baby boomers have
started to retire, payroll taxes are less than they need to be to cover
payments to retirees. To make up this shortfall, the Treasury is paying back
the money it got over the past 30 years, and this means that income taxes need
to be higher than they otherwise would be. For the next few decades, people who
pay payroll taxes will benefit from this arrangement, while people who pay
income taxes will suffer.
If payroll taxpayers and income taxpayers were the same
people, none of this would matter. The trust fund really would be a fiction.
But they aren't. Payroll taxpayers tend to be the poor and the middle class.
Income taxpayers tend to be the upper middle class and the rich. Long story
short, for the past 30 years, the poor and the middle class overpaid and the
rich benefited. For the next 30 years or so, the rich will overpay and the poor
and the middle class will benefit.
The trust fund is the physical embodiment of that deal. It's
no surprise that the rich, who didn't object to this arrangement when it was
first made, are now having second thoughts. But make no mistake. When wealthy
pundits like Krauthammer claim that the trust fund is a fiction, they're trying
to renege on a deal halfway through because they don't want to pay back the
loans they got.
As it happens, I think this was a dumb deal. But that
doesn't matter. It's the deal we made, and the poor and the middle class kept
up their end of it for 30 years. Now it's time for the rich to keep up their
end of the deal. Unless you think that promises are just so much wastepaper,
this is the farthest thing imaginable from fiction. It's as real as taxes.
No comments:
Post a Comment